16 February 2011

Prospects

Of the most recent Arab uprisings the one in Bahrain is definitely the most promising. It's the only one which seems to have a coherent movement about it, although the Yemeni, Algerian and what may be the beginnings of the Libyan uprising today could also develop this over time if they maintain momentum, of those I'd say the Libya has the best chance, followed by Yemen and then Algeria (I'm scepital about prospects for Algeria, the civil war has created a far more frightened and pro-status quo society than others). Having the same ruler for 40 years is mad even by the standards of the Arab regimes.

No comments: